Bokobza, Laure, Suthan Krishnarajan, Jacob Nyrup, Casper Sakstrup & Lasse Aaskoven (2021). The Morning After: Cabinet Instability and the Purging of Ministers after Failed Coup Attempts in Autocracies. The Journal of Politics: 1–36. doi: post

Sakstrup, Casper (2021). What’s going on Next Door? Irregular leader change in neighboring countries, uncertainty, and civil war. Journal of Peace Research 58 (3): 539–53. doi:

Sakstrup, Casper & Kristina Jessen Hansen (2021). Revisiting the Emotion-Risk Interaction: Do Anger and Fear Moderate the Impact of Risk on Public Support for War? International Journal of Public Opinion Research. doi:

Sakstrup, Casper & Jakob Tolstrup (2020). To Intervene or Not to Intervene? Democratic Constraints on Third-Party Support in Civil Wars. Government and Opposition. doi:


Sakstrup, Casper (2019). Third-party Involvement in Civil War: Causes and Consequences, PhD Dissertation. Aarhus: Forlaget Politica. link:


Kristensen, Kristian Søby & Casper Sakstrup (2016). Russian Policy in the Arctic after the Ukraine Crisis. Copenhagen: Centre for Military Studies. link:

Sakstrup, Casper, Johannes Kidmose & Jette Steen Knudsen (2015). Samfundsansvar – Aktuel anvendelse i og fremtidig relevans for det danske forsvar af samfundsansvarsbegrebet [Corporate Social Responsibility – Current application and future relevance of the corporate social responsibility concept for the Danish Defence]. Copenhagen: Centre for Military Studies. link:

Working papers

Sakstrup, Casper. When Strength Becomes Weakness: Precolonial State Development, Monopoly on Violence, and Civil War.

Sakstrup, Casper. Kausalitet i scenarieforskning: Konsekvenser for udenrigs- og sikkerhedspolitiske analyser [Causality in Scenario Research: Consequences for Foreign and Security Policy Analyses].

Sakstrup, Casper & Kristina Jessen Hansen. Escalation of Commitment or Rational Responsiveness to Costs in War? A New Typology.

Sakstrup, Casper. The Dictator’s Foreign Policy.

Sakstrup, Casper. Scenario research as a basis for policy recommendations: Potentials and Pitfalls.


Sakstrup, Casper (2021). ”Mens vi talte om corona”, Weekendavisen, 9 March 2021.

Schaub, Gary & Casper Sakstrup (2014). “Hvorfor flyver russerne aggressivt over Østersøen?”, Jyllands-Posten, 17 December 2014.

Sakstrup, Casper (2013). “Reform med tvivlsom gevinst”, Jyllands-Posten, 28 November 2013.

Sakstrup, Casper (2009). ”Hurra for det brede forsvarsforlig”, Jyllands-Posten, 5 July 2009